Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz is halted due to US and Iran blockades. Trump lifting the blockade by May 31 at 82% YES.

A ceasefire in the Israel-Lebanon conflict has led to displaced Lebanese returning home, with a ceasefire by April 30, 2026 ...

Iran launched nearly 9,000 missiles and drones, with the UAE hit hardest. Iran striking Israel by April 30, 2026 at 100% YES.

Sources indicate Islamabad talks between the US and Iran could resume Wednesday morning. The US-Iran ceasefire extension by ...

Virginia GOP intensifies opposition to the redistricting amendment. Passage of the amendment on April 21 at 0.8% YES.

Iran signals readiness for military escalation amid ceasefire tensions. Ceasefire breach by April 21 at 100% YES.

Trump has declared he won’t extend the ceasefire deadline past Wednesday. The Polymarket contract for WTI Crude Oil hitting ...

Ethereum has risen over 50% in early April following easing US-Iran tensions, with the Polymarket contract for ETH to stay ...

Iran announced it won’t attend the next round of ceasefire discussions, just two days before the current agreement expires.

Starmer admits mistake in appointing Mandelson as ambassador. Odds of Starmer being out by December 31, 2026 at 64.5% YES.

Hungary’s incoming PM, Péter Magyar, stated that Benjamin Netanyahu would be arrested if he visits the country, in line with ...

Iranian media reports only three ships passed through the Strait of Hormuz in 12 hours. Fewer than 10 ships transit from ...