Making sense of the economy requires more than just tracking the latest data—it demands a framework for connecting the dots. The good news is that the economy doesn’t move in random spurts—it follows ...

The “business cycle” might just be one of the oldest ideas in economics. For more than 200 years, economists have been pointing to the tendency of economies to expand, then slow down, contract and ...

In my experience consulting with entrepreneurs and small business owners, I see many with excessively long or costly new business development cycles, compared to the rate of change and competitive ...

Most investors and financial pundits are coached to “watch the consumer” as the most important signal of economic health. After all, consumer spending is two-thirds of the total gross domestic product ...

Download PDF More Formats on IMF eLibrary Order a Print Copy Create Citation This paper examines the role of financial cycle proxies in refining available estimates of the business cycle in Kazakhstan ...